Sunday, May 24, 2015

Books I've read

Books I've Read

Alice's Adventures in Wonderland
The Amazing Adventures of Kavalier and Klay
American Gods
The Andromeda Strain
Anthem
Brave New World
The Brief and Wondrous Life of Oscar Wao
Catch-22
Catcher in the Rye
Cat's Cradle
Dracula
Dubliners
Dune
Ender's Game
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Firestarter
Frankenstein
The Giver
Good Omens
Guards! Guards!
Handmaid's Tale
Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy
I, Robot
Joy Luck Club
Lord of the Flies
Martian Chronicles
Murder on the Orient Express
Notes From the Underground
Neuromancer
Peter Pan
Pride and Prejudice
Ringworld
A Scanner Darkly
The Silence
Starship Troopers
Station Eleven
Stranger in a Strange Land
Tale of Two Cities
The Trial
The War of the Worlds
We, the Drowned
Who Could That Be At This Hour?
A Wrinkle in Time
Y: The Last Man
Zoo Story
Saga
Act Like It
The Spymaster's Lady

Ambitious Brew
Animals in Translation
Biography of Benjamin Franklin 
The Art of War
The Ascent of Money
Building Suburbia
Bureaucracy
Congress and the Decline of Public Trust
The Death and Life of Great American Cities
Essays in Sociology
Fat Man in the Middle Seat
Fear and Loathing on the Campaign Trail
In the Blink of an Eye
The Iraq War
Me Talk Pretty One Day
On War
The Policy Paradox
The Politics of Place
The Power Broker
Presidential Power and the Modern Presidents
The King of Vodka: The Story of Pyotr Smirnov and the Upheaval of an Empire

In the Queue -  
Poisonwood Bible
Gulliver's Travels
Three Musketeers 
Tom Jones (Henry Fielding)
The Plauge
Once and Future King
Dream of Scipio
Sometimes a Great Notion 
Jane Eyre
To the Lighthouse
Light in August
Father's and Sons
The Woman in White (suspense)
Paris 1919
Boys on the Bus

Saturday, May 9, 2015

Discussion of Each Selection

Discussion of each selection:

Note: I use the word "Consensus" below to refer the generally agreed upon best player at a given position within the football-world based on my research. I rely on the consensus here for brevity's sake. I don't need to explain why most people's #1 pick is my #1 pick, I just need to explain the oddball picks. Not all "consensus" players have the same level of backing and some player with a strong general consensus may have vocal detractors, but a consensus nonetheless exists.

Quarterbacks: This position was addressed in the blog, but I have a few thoughts to add here. It's no coincidence that my top 3 are the career ring-count leaders. Quarterback is the only position where championship success has been taken into consideration. Dick Butkus never made the playoffs, Barry Sanders didn't have much post-season success, but I'm not putting someone in the driver's seat who couldn't win the big one. Brady has 7 rings, Starr has 5, and Montana is tied with Terry Bradshaw and Sid Luckman at 4 (I don't count Otto Graham's AAFL rings). Montana over Bradshaw is obvious because Bradshaw's other stats aren't all that impressive. It's a much tougher call between Montana and Luckman. Ultimately, I'm coward enough to go with the more popular choice of Montana over Luckman. 

Runningbacks: Though no clear winner emerges, this is definitely the consensus triumvirate. I would suppose, if put to a national vote, Sanders would come out on top, but I prefer collision runners, and Brown barely noses out Sanders in rushing yards per attempt.

Fullbacks: Lots of people would categorize Jim Brown as a FB and start Brown and Sanders. This is bullshit. The fullback role has evolved into a blocking/receiving role and the old FB/HB distinction is now lost as big backs simply play in the same formations as smaller backs. With the new roles of fullback in mind, Motley and Nagurski quickly become the obvious choices. I bet there's a lot of people who would start Nagurski over Motley, but I like Motley's footwork and receiving ability better.

WR: After Rice, Moss, and Hutson, there are no consensus picks for 4th and 5th best WR of all time. Lance Alworth's ability to bring recognition and respect to the AFL and being the first AFL player inducted into the Hall of Fame is what was the deciding factor in selecting him. Owens was selected on the strength of his stats (top 3 in receiving yards and TDs). Hester is the consensus return man and Tasker is the consensus (practically the only) special teams player.

TE: Mackey and Ditka are the twin peaks of old-school TE physicality. While they're not exactly oddball choices, they're certainly the biggest indicator of my own old-school biases. Gonzalez is definitely the consensus pick and I have him way back at 3rd. Rob Gronkowski was selected based off his insane physicality (a rare power-blocker in today's game) and his high touchdown total.

OL: There's a part of me that wants to only field modern offensive linemen since the position has gained so much weight in the last 30 years. However, denying entire eras entre to the team defeats the whole purpose of an all-time team, so I treat players as undersized only if they were undersized in their era. Dwight Stephenson was undersized, but his highlight reel is my favorite to watch of any offensive lineman. Absolutely dominant. Hannah is the near-consensus best guard, and Parker's footage, ranking on the NFL films and sporting news top 100 lists, plus the testimony of Ron Wolf gets him my vote. Parker split his career equally at guard and tackle, so I put him at guard to make room for Munoz and Gregg. Munoz is the consensus best tackle (more important for positions without solid stats) and Gregg gets my vote based on the testimony of Vince Lombardi and Deacon Jones. You could argue that Matthews and Allen are better than anyone here, but I feel they're best utilized as reserve players for their versatility. I wanted a third center for depth, and Jim Otto is the toughest son of a bitch I've ever seen.

DT: While I have the players listed strictly by DT/DE on the roster, the backup roles become clear if you break it down by technique:
1-Tech: Greene, Page
3-Tech: White, Donald
Edge: Jones, Smith
Stand-Up Rush: Taylor, Bell, Hendricks

Certainly there's plenty of flexibility here in the event of multiple injuries. 
 
I worry that I have a old-timer bias at DT because Donald is a 3x Defensive Player of the Year, yet I'm not starting him. Earlier iterations of this list included Bob Lilly and Merlin Olsen, which literally made it the 70s All-Decade team. At least Alan Page has a league MVP to his name, something Donald cannot claim (although he did get voted #1 on the Top 100 Players list). But for now, I'm going with my gut and starting White over Donald even though White never strictly played 3-tech.

DE: Again, a consensus trio for my top 3 picks with no clear winner. Part of me wants to start Smith over Jones, but ultimately Jones's reputation sealed the deal. Marchetti's footage plus his spot on the Sporting News top 100 and NFL Networks Top 10 pass rushers secured his #4 spot. If Jones and Smith get hurt, I'd probably move White to DE and put Page or Donald in as the 3-tech. Marchetti also spent some time at Tackle, so he provides emergency depth on the O-Line. 

MLB: Butkus is the consensus pick (although he did get some knocks from CHFF and profootballreference., whom I both respect, but evidently not enough to sway me).  I picked Lewis and Lambert over the crowded field of Hall of Fame MLB talent because they thrived in systems similar to mine, specifically their noteworthy play in coverage. Lewis seems to be in the general conversation for best ever, whereas Lambert usually places outside the top 2. I think Lambert should be in the general best-ever conversation, but since he isn't, I'm putting Lewis at #2 and Lambert at #3.

OLB: Not a huge amount of competition here, largely because the most talented run-stopping/coverage backs are usually put in the middle (Stiffer competition for outside pass-rushing OLBs, but I wasn't really looking for those, LT being the exception, as he is in the top 3 pass rushers all-time). Dave Robinson and Dave Wilcox are the only HOF competition, and both waited decades to get in. Brooks and Ham are #2 and #3 on the depth chart because they are  more pass-coverage and system oriented than Bell (who doubled as DE) and Hendricks (a roaming, blitz-if-I-feel-like-it type).  And Bell and Hendricks are both major special teams contributors (Bell is the backup long-snapper and Hendricks unofficially has the most blocked kicks in NFL history).  Incredibly close call between starting Ham and Brooks. I went with Brooks because he is the harder-hitter.

CB: Easily my oddest bunch, but also where my team shows-off it’s unique identity. As I addressed in the blog, I favor players who can dish out serious physical punishment while also providing solid coverage rather than selecting the best pure cover corners (my picks for best pure cover corner would have been Deion Sanders, Darrell Green, Mike Haynes). Lane, Blount, and Adderley all fit this mold. Charles and Rod Woodson can also play at corner in the event of injuries.

S: Lott is the consensus pick. Tunnell was selected based on his #2 all-time interception total, footage, and the testimony of Sam Huff. Both secured their starting spots with their reputation as not just hard hitters, but among the hardest hitters. Rod Woodson was selected for interception total, footage, and corner/safety versatility. He and Charles Woodson had eerily similar careers, with a razor-thin margin separating the two. I ultimately gave more weight to All-Pro and Pro Bowl picks, which gives the nod to Rod. Reed was selected for interception total, footage, and special-teams ability. He's arguably more talented than either Woodson, but I wanted the 3rd safety to have a starting CB skillset (I see Charles Woodson as Rod's 2nd string back, with Reed as 2nd string to both Lott and Tunnell). Christiansen is easily the single oddest pick on the team. Until he recently made the NFL 100 team, I couldn't even find a highlight reel! He was picked as Devin Hester's backup because he is one of the greatest punt returners in the history of the game (it's absolutely criminal that he's never included in any top 10 list you see), is also a ferocious hitter (based on the testimony of Joe Schmidt), and lastly because he has an incredibly high career interceptions-per-game. Speaking of highlights, here's some of the best Chrisitansen plays  I could find online:
One
Two
Three

K: Unless you're judging purely on career FG%, Vinateri is the consensus pick, mostly for post-season dominance (also, closing speed.)

P: Guy is the consensus pick and only Hall of Fame punter.


Bonus: Here's a great paragraph on Tasker:
Tasker was certainly a unique player, and in many ways has the profile of a typical Hall of Famer. He was the best at his position, he changed the way the game was player, he shined brightest in the biggest moments, and he forced teams to gameplan around him. Tasker literally changed the way the game was played; the rule that requires the punting team's gunners to stay in bounds was designed to stop Tasker. Tasker made 7 Pro Bowls and was selected to the Associated Press' first-team All-Pro roster five times; before Tasker, special honors weren't given out to non-returner, non-kicker, special teamers. He blocked a punt in the Super Bowl and won the 1993 Pro Bowl MVP. He forced teams to, on occasion, put three blockers on him because as a gunner, he could get past just two men. If he didn't invent the idea of special teams star, he certainly encapsulated it. Tasker's career was as unique as it was noteworthy.


Here's a quick sentence from Gil Brandt about how Butkus's coverage skills would translate today's game: ...he had the athleticism to make plays in space. The game is much more open now than it was during Butkus' heyday, but he would have the same effect on the game today that he had then.

Saturday, May 2, 2015

4-4-3

Hey, I'm Bob.

Here are my thoughts on the all-time NFL team. I've written more than is probably healthy.

Gameday Roster
QB: Joe Montana.                        Bart Starr.                   
HB: Jim Brown.                           Barry Sanders, Walter Payton
FB: Marion Motley.                
TE: John Mackey.                        Mike Ditka, Tony Gonzalez
WR: Jerry Rice, Don Hutson.      Paul Warfield, Lance Alworth, Devin Hester, Steve Tasker
C: Dwight Stephenson.                Bruce Matthews
G: John Hannah, Jim Parker.       Larry Allen
T: Anthony Munoz, Forrest Gregg.   

DT: Joe Greene, Bob Lilly               Alan Page, Merlin Olsen

DE: Reggie White, Deacon Jones    Bruce Smith, Gino Marchetti
MLB: Dick Butkus. Lawrence Taylor.    Jack Lambert. Ray Lewis
OLB: Jack Ham. Derrick Brooks      Ted Hendricks, Bobby Bell
CB: Dick Lane, Mel Blount.             (Herb Adderley), Rod Woodson, Darrell Green
S: Ronnie Lott.                                 (Emlen Tunnell) Ed Reed

P: Ray Guy.                            Adam Vinateri
K: Adam Vinateri.                  Ray Guy
KR/PR: Devin Hester.          (Jack Christiansen) Rod Woodson
LS: Bobby Bell.                      Bruce Matthews
H: Ray Guy.                            Bart Starr

Reserves: Sid Luckman, Bronko Nagurski, Jim Otto, Jonathan Ogden, Herb Adderley, Emlen Tunnell, Jack Christiansen

( ) Players in reserve that will start in the event of injury

Responses to probable questions and objections...

Honorable Mentions: There are over 200 players in the NFL Hall of Fame, all of  whom would obviously be outstanding players on this team. The following players are the ones I most wish I had room on the roster for: Johnny Unitas, Emmitt Smith, Lorenzo Neal, Kellen Winslow, Raymond Berry, Mike Webster, Randall McDaniel, Art Shell,  Warren Sapp, Willie Davis, Mike Singletary, Kevin Greene, Willie Brown, Ken Houston, Larry Wilson. 

Depth: I have 26 players on offense, 25 on defense, and 2 on special teams (22, 22, and 2 dressed). My special teams players have each both kicked and punted in college, so they are each other's emergency backup. Ray Guy is also my emergency quarterback, as he was with the Raiders. While I'm only starting a single safety in the base package, I'm carrying four on the roster because A) Reed and Christiansen are major special-teams contributors, and B) I want the ability to substitute safeties for LBs on long-yardage passing situations.

No Deion Sanders: Deion Sanders is not a particularly gifted tackler. My selections are all among the hardest-hitting corners to ever play the game. My two starters hit so hard that the NFL had to change the rules! While Deion Sanders is a Hall of Fame caliber player, his coverage skills are comparable to the harder-hitting players I've selected. Lem Barney is another example of a Hall of Fame caliber CB who doesn't hit hard enough to make the team.

No Randy Moss or Terrell Owens: While both are incredibly talented players, they are both a toxic presence in the locker room and are therefore not welcome on my team. This list is certainly not exhaustive. 

No Jim Thorpe: I did not feel comfortable putting a player without footage to evaluate on my team (The player I saw the least footage of was Jack Christiansen, but I was very impressed with what little I saw).

Back-up Quarterbacks: While few would be surprised with Joe Montana at #1, most people do not have Starr and Luckman in their top 10, let alone their top 3. But like Montana, both Starr and Luckman have incredible post-season passer ratings, incredible regular season stats (in their respective eras), and were true leaders on teams that became championship dynasties. The more difficult question is why Montana isn't 2nd or 3rd. The answer is that he has the highest championship game passer rating of all-time at a staggering 127.8. Special thanks to The Cold Hard Football Factswhose quarterback analysis, though we reached different conclusions, heavily influenced my own. 

Overall: I realize the decision to cut Sanders and Moss will not be popular. But I trust my gut, and I firmly believe I have assembled the best possible team. 

Strategy...

DEFENSE: I will be running a traditional Cover 3 defense with non-traditional personnel. As you can see, I have dispensed with the strong safety and will be fielding a "4-4-3" defense. In the base package, Butkus and Taylor will be the Middle/Hook defenders and Ham and Brooks will cover the Curl/Flat. The airtight pass-coverage provided by Ham and Brooks is what initially attracted me to this scheme. Both are able to go downfield with their receiver if needed, just as the strong safety traditionally would. Butkus and Taylor are both solid in coverage, but more importantly, are both incredible at forcing fumbles, so even checkdown passes in the middle of the field shouldn't be considered "safe." My secondary all are violent hitters who can separate the ball from the receiver. Blount and Lane both have the physicality to press the receiver at the line and Lott has the range required to cover the deep middle (similar to the 2014 Seattle Seahawk's system). Lastly, my defensive line will be in a 4-3 alignment with Lily as the 1 technique and Greene as the 3 technique. 

Q: WHOA, LT ISN'T PART OF THE BASE 4-MAN PASS RUSH!?!? WHY AREN'T YOU PLAYING A 3-4 SO HE CAN BLITZ MOST DOWNS?!?

A:       While there are countless hybrids, there are two fundamental 3-4 concepts: 1-gap and 2-gap. My main concern with the 2-gap 3-4 defense is that there are no Nose Tackles in the Hall of Fame. Bill Willis played directly over center, but he was an undersized lineman on a 5-man front; hardly a 3-4 prototype. Vince Wilfork is a future Hall of Famer, and Ted Washington and Fred Smerlas should arguably be in, but do they really compare to the iconic 4-3 DTs on my team? I think not. As for the 1-gap three four, I would still want Lilly and Greene on the field to dominate the line, which leaves two spots for outside pass rushers. Rather than choose between Jones and White, I would rather have both on the field with the option to blitz LT. Furthermore, LT is incredible against the run and has general 'playmaker' instincts, so he will certainly excel in my system.
           Basically, LT is my big exception. I'm running a 4-3 sytle scheme and LT is a 3-4 player. He's a square peg in a round hole, but dammit I'm going to make it work!
       

OFFENSE: I will use smashmouth, ball-control running to set up play-action passing. I certainly have the personnel to run a more complex passing scheme, but I prefer simple concepts that are well-executed. While I admit I have a much stronger vision for the defense, I do have some offensive ambition. The 1978 New England Patriots set the single-season record for total rushing yards with 3,165. I intend to break this record. Let's say my running backs average over 5 yards per carry on an average of 40 rushing attempts per game. This beats the record and averages over 200 rushing yards per game, just like the 1972 Dolphins and the 1976 Steelers. That's my kind of team. Old School.

Offensive line:
          With Jim Parker, John Hannah, and Forrest Gregg on the line, I'm imagining a lot of outside power running with pulling offensive linemen. On inside runs, Dwight Stephenson is quick enough to chip shot a defensive tackle and still make a second level block on a linebacker. 

Running backs:
          I plan on using a tandem backfield system where each of my four running backs are used roughly equally each game. However, I also plan on using Motley as a lead blocker, so he would probably see fewer carries than the HBs. 

Quarterback/Receivers:
         I'm hoping to exploit my power running game for lots of play action passing. On these plays, I imagine Hutson usually going deep, Rice and Mackey on mid range routes, and Motley as the check-down receiver. In general, I have a quarterback adept at short timing routes and Rice, Mackey and Motley are all among the greatest receivers after the catch of all-time. When the running game isn't quite clicking, we certainly will still have plenty of ways to win.

Overall: Any "All-Time" team will obviously have weapons at every position. But it's still important to have an overall philosophy, a preferred method of attack, a standard from which to deviate. For me, I want a hard-nosed physically punishing running attack to be the cornerstone of the offense. And we can already see that old-school power running is making a comeback in today's NFL, so I have no doubt that this system will produce results.



I'd love to hear what anyone has to say at stephenproctorjr@gmail.com